Skip to main content

Data, Insight & 分析

0
Recent Downloads

Economy at a Glance - August 2022

本期《Hga010皇冠软件下载》考察了该地区到今年年中为止的经济表现, with special attention paid to employment, 皇冠HGA010官方下载, real estate and transportation.
Published on 8/15/22

Houston at Mid-Year

1922年上半年是休斯顿经济有史以来最强劲的开局. Job growth surged. The unemployment rate fell. Houston’s civilian labor force grew significantly. Exports set a record. Container traffic soared. Crude topped $100 per barrel. The rig count approached pre-pandemic levels. 经纪人租用了创纪录数量的工业/仓库空间.

Download August 2022 Economy at a Glance

 

Only a few sectors struggled. 不断上升的利率和飙升的价格削减了房屋销售. Double-digit inflation weighed on consumer spending. The apartment market began to soften. 在减少办公空间过剩方面也没有取得什么进展.

即便如此,积极因素还是大大超过了消极因素. 休斯顿进入22年下半年的势头相当强劲. 该地区的经济增长将持续到今年底,并将持续到明年. 以下是合作伙伴对年中经济的评估.

Nonfarm Payroll Employment

休斯顿地铁在22年上半年创造了84,600个工作岗位. That’s the best start on record for the region, better than any year in the ’80s, when the domestic rig count topped 4,500, or the early ’10s, 鹰福特页岩的繁荣带领休斯顿走出了大衰退.

总体而言,休斯顿已经恢复了疫情期间失去的所有工作岗位. Nonfarm payroll employment topped 3.2 million in June ’22. 这比19年11月创下的就业记录高出75,500人.

The recovery has been uneven, though. 11个部门已完全恢复大流行造成的损失:行政支持(37,300); arts, entertainment, and recreation (23,700); educational services (12,900); finance and insurance (6,200); government (8,600); health care (47,900); professional, scientific and technical services (16,300); restaurants and bars (111,900); retail (57,400); transportation and warehousing (20,300); and wholesale trade (12,300). 

At their current pace of growth, a handful of sectors should recover their remaining losses within the next month or so (jobs needed in parenthesis): real estate and equipment rentals (200); information (700); hotels (2,300); other services (3,400); and construction (5,700).

只有两个行业仍在挣扎:制造业(9100个工作岗位)和皇冠HGA010官方下载(9400个工作岗位)。. 大部分制造业岗位仍在油田设备制造领域. 除非钻井活动显著增加,否则石油产量不会回升. As of mid-August, the U.S. 钻机数量尚未恢复到大流行前的水平. 

尽管皇冠HGA010官方下载公司在22年第二季度报告了创纪录的利润, 他们不愿大幅增加员工人数. 而不是, they are repurchasing shares, paying dividends, funding alternative 皇冠HGA010官方下载 efforts, and marginally increasing exploration programs.

Civilian Labor Force

Metro Houston added over 60,今年上半年,该公司的劳动力减少了1000人,近100人,000 over the past 12 months. 在疫情期间辍学的休斯敦人重新进入了就业市场. 经济也受益于该地区新居民的激增. 在1922年6月,劳动力达到3,521,124人,创该地区历史新高.

劳动力估计来自当前人口调查(CPS), which is based on a survey of households. 薪资数据来自当前就业系列(CES),该系列基于对雇主的调查. 这两项调查在就业增长方向上趋于一致,但在幅度上往往存在分歧. 最新的CPS数据显示,休斯顿只增加了56个,680 jobs so far this year, 远低于消费电子展的预期,也是有记录以来第二好的开局. 根据CPS的数据,最好的开局是2010年,当时该地区创造了96,000多个就业岗位.

Initial Claims

Initial claims for unemployment benefits, a proxy for layoffs in the region, 在晚春期间呈下降趋势,然后从4月开始缓慢上升. 然而,它们仍远低于大流行的峰值,仅略高于大流行前的水平.

最近宣布的裁员大多是全国性的, not a response to a local slowdown. 裁员主要集中在科技行业和数字货币交易平台, not a slowdown in the national economy. Almost none of the layoffs impact Houston.

Continued Claims

There were 22,6月第二周,墨西哥湾地区继续有122人申请失业救济. 这一数字高于5月份的20,221份,但比去年6月份的43,092份有所改善. 这一下降表明,那些失去工作的人在找到新工作方面没有什么困难. Continued claims peaked at 276,116 in June ’20. 

To continue reading, download this report.

注:本出版物中所指的地理区域为“休斯顿”,“休斯顿地区”和“休斯顿大都会”是人口普查指定的休斯顿-伍德兰-糖地的九个县都市统计区, TX. The nine counties are: Austin, Brazoria, 钱伯斯, 本德堡, 加尔维斯顿, 哈里斯, 自由, Montgomery and Waller.

Key August Takeaways

以下是本月休斯顿地区需要了解的事实
1
August Takeaway #1
1922年上半年是休斯敦经济有史以来最强劲的开局.
2
August Takeaway #2
休斯顿采购经理人指数连续24个月保持在50以上. Any reading above 50 indicates an expanding economy.
3
August Takeaway #3
美国.S. 美国皇冠HGA010官方下载情报署(皇冠HGA010官方下载 Information Administration)预测,到今年年底,原油价格将升至每桶90美元以上, 油价远高于60美元,大多数生产商需要钻一口新井才能盈利.

Want to learn more? 联系 our Research Team:

Patrick Jankowski, CERP
Senior Vice President, Research
713-844-3616

Previous Issues of Economy at a Glance

7月
2022
休斯顿住房市场,可负担性和最近的变化
Read Report
小君
2022
Economic Recovery, Population Growth & Global Houston recap
Read Report
五月
2022
Economic recovery, rising costs & labor force
Read Report
4月
2022
Population growth and employment data
Read Report
3月
2022
Local Impact of a Global Event
Read Report
2月
2022
Post-分析 of 2021 Houston Economy
Read Report
1月
2022
Omicron, GDP, Employment
Read Report
12月
2021
2022 Employment Forecast
Read Report
11月
2021
Job Gains, Real Estate, Exports
Read Report
10月
2021
Inflation, Employment & Global Innovation
Read Report
9月
2021
Employment, Oil & Gas, Containerized Exports, and 住房
Read Report
8月
2021
Delta变量,旅游反弹,经济增长和人口增长
Read Report
7月
2021
皇冠HGA010官方下载 Transition, Recovery Bottlenecks, & the Worker Shortage
Read Report
小君
2021
Economic Recovery, Multifamily, Population & 更多的
Read Report
五月
2021
住房 Boom and Robust Recovery
Read Report
4月
2021
Pandemic Recovery, Tech 劳动力
Read Report
3月
2021
Pandemic Employment Data
Read Report
2月
2021
Coronavirus Impact and 2021 Outlook
Read Report
1月
2021
Racial Demographics and Population Shifts
Read Report
11月
2020
U.S. Recovery, 2021 Outlook
Read Report
10月
2020
U.S. Recovery, Houston Update
Read Report
9月
2020
COVID-19 Impact on Economy
Read Report
8月
2020
皇冠HGA010官方下载 Change Over Time
Read Report
7月
2020
COVID-19 Update, Houston Unemployment
Read Report
小君
2020
COVID-19 Update, Affected Sectors, 皇冠HGA010官方下载
Read Report
五月
2020
U.S. & Texas Outlook, GDP
Read Report
4月
2020
COVID-19 Update, PMI, Industry Outlook
Read Report
3月
2020
经济影响,全球前景,衰退可能性
Read Report
2月
2020
U.S.-China Trade Deal, USMCA
Read Report
1月
2020
Houston GDP, 皇冠HGA010官方下载, Jobs
Read Report
12月
2019
Sector by Sector Forecast for 2020
Read Report
11月
2019
Houston Region Demographic Update 2
Read Report
10月
2019
Houston Region Demographic Update 1
Read Report
9月
2019
Houston's Growth Engines
Read Report
8月
2019
PMI, Commercial Real Estate & 住房
Read Report

更多的 Insight & 分析

Monthly Update: Inflation

回顾休斯顿地区最新的通货膨胀数据. 

Monthly Update: Employment

查看休斯顿地区最新的就业数据. 

Monthly Update: Purchasing Managers Index

回顾这一关键经济指标的最新数据. 

从拥有会员资格的合作伙伴团队获得更深入的分析.
Executive Partners